The International Space Station turns 20 years old

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When the hatch of the International Space Station was first opened twenty years ago, the well-known smell of space was probably not yet very present. That must be different by now; the ISS turned 20 on Monday, and after visits from dozens or even hundreds of astronauts, the space station is starting to run out of technological space. And it is not yet known how long it will last.

On Monday, November 2, we celebrate the ‘birthday’ of the International Space Station, but you could actually celebrate that date a little earlier. Already on November 20, 1998, the first module of the station was launched into space. Zarya is a Russian module and one of the most important for the station, at least in the early years. The station now consists of dozens of such modules, but also coupling gates, solar panels and other components.

On Monday, however, we celebrate a more symbolic birthday. On November 2, 2000, exactly twenty years ago, a crew of two Russian cosmonauts and an American astronaut arrived at the station. Not a day has gone by since then that there wasn’t at least one astronaut in space. They work and live there, in recent years even for months at a time. Since that first flight by Bill Sheperd, Yuri Gidzenko and Sergey Krikalev, 241 astronauts have visited the space station, conducted spacewalks and docked commercial spaceships, and the participating countries managed to largely ignore international tensions on earth. But now the ISS is also starting to show cracks. Literally, because a large hole was recently discovered in the space station, and the countries are increasingly talking about a future that may take place without each other.

Numbers

First, let’s take a look at the performance of the drive. A total of 241 astronauts and cosmonauts flew to the space station, spread over 19 countries. Since December 1998, 230 spacewalks have been conducted to assemble and repair the station. A total of 42 flights were performed to bring all parts of the station together, 37 of which were performed aboard the Space Shuttle. The remaining five were carried out by Russian Proton and Soyuz missiles. After all, the Space Shuttle had much more cargo space than the Russian rockets, which meant that a much larger space station could be built than originally intended.

In total, about 350,000 sensors keep track of how the station and the crew are doing. In the American part of the space station, this information is collected via a hundred different networks. To control this, code of more than 1.5 million lines is used. That is only for the flight software. The software Houston mission control uses has more than three million lines of code. Since last year, this information has been sent to earth at a speed of 600Mbit/s .

Astronauts use their time aboard the station primarily to conduct scientific experiments. It involves more than 3000 tests on microgravity, which sometimes go on for years. In addition to those experiments that the crew performs, the space station contains twenty measuring instruments that are located on the outside of the station.

The experiments

It is with those experiments that it becomes a lot more difficult to justify the importance, and also the enormous costs, of the space station. Because what actually happens in the ISS sometimes remains somewhat vague, and whether it justifies the price tag of about 150 billion euros.

Astronauts themselves you hardly hear about the work they do. “We are just performers”, André Kuipers said in an interview years ago . “All kinds of scientists come to you in advance and tell you what needs to be done, what exactly you need to measure and test, but just as often you don’t know exactly how a research project works.”

In total, more than 1800 scientific papers have resulted from research at the ISS. NASA itself keeps lists of scientific achievements from the space station, including some medical discoveries such as understanding how Duchenne’s disease works . But a great deal of research also seems to be carried out specifically in space simply because it takes place in space. For example, experiments are being carried out with 3D printing in weightlessness and maintaining plants in space , which may be useful in the future if we want to live on planets.

A great deal of research is also being done into the effects of weightlessness on the body. A well-known example is the breakdown of bone and muscle mass, which is much studied . That information is also useful for doctors on Earth who conduct research on that subject, but whether that necessarily requires a stay in space is another matter.

Another well-known example that was in the news a lot is the mission that lasted almost a year . That was not, as is often thought, only a mission of the American Scott Kelly, but also of the Russian Mikhail Kornienko. The pair spent 340 days on the space station, taking a close look at the effect of such a long stay on the body. In addition, Kelly’s mission was particularly interesting. His twin brother Mark was also an astronaut and went through the same medical tests on Earth as his brother did on the ISS. In that Twin Study the difference between the two was studied. Although differences were indeed found in, for example, the gene composition of the spaceman, the conclusion turned out to be mainly that the differenceswere not very significant . It was already known that people can stay in space for a long time without major complaints, and Kelly and Kornienko also did not break a record. Valeri Polyakov once spent 437 days on the Russian space station .

International cooperation

The physical experiments on astronauts are also largely intended to investigate the obstacles and possibilities for future space flights. Experts therefore say that it is not the experiments, but the unique international cooperation that has been going on for about 25 years that is the real benefit of the space station. Astronauts like Michael López-Alegría tell the Washington Post that the station is “a diplomatic tool.” “There are serious tensions, especially between the US and Russia, but in the space world we still have to work together.” ISS program manager Kenny Todd also praises the program. He tells National Geographic that it is “a kind of mini-United Nations . “

For years there have been calls for the Nobel Peace Prize to be awarded to the ISS . “If you think about those 20 years of people in space, straight and gay, Muslim, Christian and atheist, all those colors and lifestyles, all those people coming together and building that one module into an international outpost the size of a football field with no fighting and no war… That’s worth a Nobel Prize,” former astronaut Leland Melvin told the Washington Post. A cooperation between Russia and the Western world, once mortal enemies, and that also at a time when the tensions between the countries are increasing, is indeed worth something. Whether it’s worth 150 billion is another question…

The future

NASA wants to slowly give parts of the ISS to the commercial industryMeanwhile, the ISS is getting old. Too old, actually. Initially, the station was to be taken out of the running in 2018, but that was later extended to 2020 and the program will not be completed until 2024 at the earliest. That doesn’t have to mean the final end either. The participating countries are looking for ways to keep the station operational, but at lower costs. Last year, NASA decided to make the ISS available to commercial companies . That idea was put forward years ago, but was usually dismissed as unfeasible. Managing the station would be too expensive for that – it will cost around 2.5 billion euros per year until 2024 . Allowing commercial parties such as tourists or filmmakerscan reduce those costs slightly, but the lion’s share of the management costs will still be paid by America and Russia. The idea has become more viable than before, mainly because of the relatively low costs that new companies like SpaceX charge for a launch of both people and cargo.

The fact that the International Space Station is also starting to show more and more cures has become increasingly clear since last year. Then a hole was discovered, which has since been repaired .

But what’s the alternative? Theoretically, the ISS can last until at least 2028 , says NASA. The space agency itself does not mind being less involved with the station. Since the end of the Space Shuttle program in 2011, it has wanted to give a greater role to industry for space travel. As a result, companies such as SpaceX, Boeing, Sierra Nevada Corp. and other old and new industries take over low Earth orbit while NASA can focus more on the Moon . Those companies could therefore continue to supply the station, send astronauts there, and thus cover part of the costs.

Commercial companies

At the same time, there are parties such as Axiom . They are working on commercial modules that can be linked to the space station and used, for example, as a hotel or specific other laboratories. That is easier said than done. Another promising company that promised just that, Bigelow Aerospace, filed for bankruptcy in March . That is not surprising when you consider that there is actually little evidence that private parties are interested in flying to the ISS and also turning it into a sustainable revenue model.

And what about the other participating countries? Europe and Japan both have their own laboratories on board the station and would like to keep them. Perhaps the space agencies ESA and JAXA will have to contribute more in the future for the longer existence of the station. Such costs are never paid in cash, by the way. Instead, the agencies are making freighters like the ATV and HTV, and Europe is building the Service Module for the US Orion capsule .

Russia

Russia is a different story. The country built an important part of the station, and said it wanted to continue last year . In fact, a new Russian module, the Nauka module, will soon have to be attached to the station. Other modules are also planned, but when they will be available is unknown. Because although NASA and Roscosmos still have a relatively good working relationship, cracks are beginning to appear . America is less dependent on Russia due to the development of SpaceX’s Crew Dragon and Boeing’s Starliner. Before that, America paid about 80 million euros per seat on a Soyuz rocket, but Russia will miss out on that income in the future. Russia is also spending less and less moneyto its space program. The country is therefore increasingly looking to China , but Russia’s long-term vision for its space program remains vague. Until then, the country is likely to hold on to the ISS for as long as possible. Maybe long enough to win the Nobel Prize.

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